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Patrick Murphy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-12-01 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Omaha Lancers USHL 3 0 0 0 0.000
2023-24 BCHL 41 11 11 22 0.537 0.1999 0.2110 0.7819 0.8255
2024-25 Cranbrook Bucks BCHL 47 28 28 56 1.192 0.4438 0.4462 0.6667 0.6554
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Stonehill D1 AHA 35 9 7 16 0.457
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.46
2025-26 · Stonehill
+51.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12130
Forward overall
#596
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Boston University (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Michigan (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Boston University (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Neumann · 2011-12
0.609 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Johnson & Wales · 2016-17
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Brockport · 2024-25
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.