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Matthew Lee Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-11-08 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 West Kelowna Warriors BCHL 19 2 5 7 0.368 0.1434 0.1575 0.5372 0.5901
2023-24 Trenton Golden Hawks OJHL 50 10 21 31 0.620 0.1732 0.1802 0.4279 0.4452
2024-25 Buffalo Jr. Sabres OJHL 51 16 30 46 0.902 0.2520 0.2493 0.6225 0.6158
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 SUNY Brockport D3 — FR 26 8 11 19 0.731
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.73
2025-26 · SUNY Brockport
+285.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19940
Forward overall
#1114
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Landon Smith
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.79 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Gareau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Clarkson (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kenny Gillespie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ RPI (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Szajner
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Hynes
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Union (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Billy Collins
Amherst · 2000-01
0.440 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Maxwell Reavis
UMass Boston · 2010-11
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Richard Manley
SUNY Geneseo · 2008-09
1.150 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.