IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Erik Påhlsson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-04-09 Country: Sweden
2024 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #213  ·  Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
Signed Professionally
SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 — SuperElit 45 19 21 40 0.889 0.3483 0.3623 1.0918 1.1356
2022-23 — SuperElit 46 26 37 63 1.370 0.5366 0.5374 1.6823 1.6849
2023-24 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 57 28 44 72 1.263 0.7765 0.7357 3.7216 3.5260
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Minnesota D1 BigTen — 30 3 15 18 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.61
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2024-25 · Minnesota
-1.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

88%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2845
Forward overall
#44
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

J.T. Stenglein
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Michigan (0.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.61 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Zach Stepan
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.39 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.60 D1 FR PPG)
0.84 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Peter Quenneville
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.11 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.80 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Elite
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.