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Luke Marley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-07-26 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Drayton Valley Thunder AJHL 52 12 17 29 0.558 0.1871 0.1839 0.5169 0.5082
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571
2024-25 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571
2023-24 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571
2022-23 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571
2021-22 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571
2020-21 Adrian ACHA_D1 — — 28 9 7 16 0.571

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#30472
Forward overall
#1801
Forward born in 2005
#971
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

Jake Wood
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ RPI (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Josh Erickson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Matt Pohlkamp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG
Alfred Larsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sheldon Wing
St. Norbert · 2002-03
0.633 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brayden Fryfogle
Canton · 2022-23
0.478 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Morin
Wisconsin-Stout · 2006-07
0.871 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.