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Nolan Roed Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-10-25 Country: USA
2025 · Round 7, Pick #214  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 27 19 19 38 1.407 0.1782 0.1782 0.3419 0.3419
2022-23 White Bear Lake USHS-MN 26 23 27 50 1.923 0.2435 0.2435 0.4671 0.4671
2023-24 Tri-City Storm USHL 25 6 9 15 0.600 0.3539 0.3626 1.8020 1.8464
2024-25 Tri-City Storm USHL 61 27 33 60 0.984 0.5802 0.5649 2.9541 2.8762
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Cloud State D1 NCHC FR 36 5 13 18 0.500
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.41
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.50
2025-26 · St. Cloud State
+20.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

95%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5541
Forward overall
#162
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Frank DiChiara
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Yale (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Olson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Alex Iafallo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Robbie Baillargeon
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Boston University (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Joe Gambardella
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
University of New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.