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Vaclav Nestrasil Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-04-06 Country: Czechia
2025 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #25  ·  Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 11 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2024-25 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 61 19 23 42 0.689 0.4061 0.4247 2.0285 2.1217
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass D1 HockeyEast FR 34 13 18 31 0.912
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.91
2025-26 · UMass
+150.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

90%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21234
Forward overall
#655
Forward born in 2007
#2105
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Tyler Motte
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Average
NCAAe PPG
Scott Conway
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Penn State (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
John Hayden
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Yale (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.