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Carter Sanderson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-09-12 Country: USA
2025 · Round 6, Pick #169  ·  Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
North Dakota
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 48 5 6 11 0.229 0.1352 0.1443 0.6884 0.7350
2025-26 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 54 17 17 34 0.630 0.3714 0.3786 1.8909 1.9276
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

82%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17461
Forward overall
#503
Forward born in 2007
#1700
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Jason Salvaggio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Osterberg
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tony Calderone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ Michigan (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Greenberg
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Miami (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Aston-Reese
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average
NCAAe PPG

North Dakota Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Jackson Blake
USHS-MN 2020-21
1.08
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Matteo Costantini
USHL 2020-21
0.60
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Ludvig Hoff
USHL 2014-15
0.44
actual FR PPG at North Dakota
Cody Croal
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.27
actual FR PPG at North Dakota

D2/3 Comparables

Brycon Johnson
Bryn Athyn · 2014-15
0.778 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Fox
Salem State · 2005-06
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Tarantino
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.