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A.J. Francisco Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2008-01-10 Country: USA
2026 NHL Draft Eligible
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 57 1 7 8 0.140 0.1117 0.1130 0.5258 0.5319
2025-26 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 51 7 27 34 0.667 0.5303 0.5074 2.4969 2.3892
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

70%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#576
Defenseman overall
#80
Defenseman born in 2008

D1 Comparables

Will Butcher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Nuttle
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Cornell
0.44 No data
NCAAe PPG
Michael Brodzinski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Mark Friedman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.49 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jason Yuel
Curry · 2006-07
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.