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Nathan Larioza Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2006-08-22 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
Colgate
ECAC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 52 0 14 14 0.269 0.1037 0.1080 0.3918 0.4081
2025-26 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 29 4 5 9 0.310 0.1830 0.1769 0.9320 0.9008
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

60%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5993
Defenseman overall
#1274
Defenseman born in 2006

D1 Comparables

Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Neal Goff
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Joe Schuldt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Michigan Tech
0.05 No data
NCAAe PPG

Colgate Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Kevin McNamara
USHS-MN 2023-24
0.40
actual FR PPG at Colgate
Paul Meyer
BCHL 2015-16
0.00
actual FR PPG at Colgate
Bobby Metz
NAHL 2020-21
0.06
actual FR PPG at Colgate
Nic Belpedio
USHL 2020-21
0.25
actual FR PPG at Colgate

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Albano
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.296 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lee Swallow
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2003-04
1.214 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nikita Kozyrev
Buffalo State · 2017-18
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.