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Trenton Penner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-02-23 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Winkler Flyers MJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Winkler Flyers MJHL 5 0 2 2 0.400 0.1088 0.1088 0.2521 0.2521
2021-22 Winkler Flyers MJHL 46 6 6 12 0.261 0.0709 0.0721 0.1644 0.1673
2022-23 Winkler Flyers MJHL 54 28 20 48 0.889 0.2417 0.2346 0.5602 0.5438
2023-24 Winkler Flyers MJHL 56 29 49 78 1.393 0.3787 0.3478 0.8778 0.8061
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA SO 6 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Alaska Fairbanks D1 — — 10 0 1 1 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.26
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2024-25 · Alaska Fairbanks
-61.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
55%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19326
Forward overall
#984
Forward born in 2003
#213
in MJHL

D1 Comparables

David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Hayden Stocks
Wisconsin-Stout · 2023-24
0.739 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Bullard
Canton · 2015-16
0.957 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Shawn Metheral
Wentworth · 2000-01
1.069 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.