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Dorian Overland Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-03-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Collingwood Blues OJHL 13 1 0 1 0.077 0.0215 0.0226 0.0531 0.0559
2015-16 Wellington Dukes OJHL 10 2 2 4 0.400 0.1118 0.1116 0.2760 0.2754
2016-17 Collingwood Blues OJHL 51 19 17 36 0.706 0.1972 0.1879 0.4871 0.4642
2017-18 Collingwood Blues OJHL 52 16 25 41 0.788 0.2203 0.1994 0.5441 0.4924
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 SUNY Cortland D3 SUNYAC SR 6 2 1 3 0.500
2019-20 SUNY Cortland D3 — SO 6 1 0 1 0.167
2018-19 SUNY Cortland D3 — FR 19 1 3 4 0.210
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2018-19 · SUNY Cortland
+26.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
35%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#21732
Forward overall
#918
Forward born in 1997
#1690
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ricky DeRosa
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Penn State (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Average
NCAAe PPG
Bradley Duwe
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Bob Kinne
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Max Bobrow
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2009-10
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Vinny Post
Adrian · 2015-16
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
John Grealish
UMass Dartmouth · 2018-19
0.600 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.