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Mac Lowry Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-07-11 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 50 13 14 27 0.540 0.1324 0.1476 0.3718 0.4145
2016-17 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 52 12 11 23 0.442 0.1084 0.1160 0.3045 0.3258
2017-18 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 44 17 18 35 0.795 0.1950 0.1993 0.5477 0.5597
2018-19 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 47 13 16 29 0.617 0.1512 0.1471 0.4248 0.4133
2019-20 Cobourg Cougars OJHL 52 21 23 44 0.846 0.2074 0.2074 0.5826 0.5826
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Stevenson D3 MAC — 20 6 1 7 0.350
2020-21 Stevenson D1 MAC FR 16 10 7 17 1.062
2020-21 Stevenson D3 MAC — 16 10 7 17 1.062
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.06
2020-21 · Stevenson
+638.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

40%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24229
Forward overall
#1211
Forward born in 1999
#1092
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Josh Erickson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Matt Pohlkamp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Leo Avakovs
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Eric Holland
Utica · 2017-18
0.524 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
John Krapian
Post · 2016-17
0.429 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.