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Andrew Cogliano Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-06-14 Country: Canada
2005 · Round 1, Pick #25  ·  Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 37 26 46 72 1.946 0.4769 0.5227 1.3398 1.4685
2004-05 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 49 36 66 102 2.082 0.5102 0.5335 1.4332 1.4986
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2006-07 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 38 24 26 50 1.316
2005-06 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 39 12 16 28 0.718
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.49
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2005-06 · Michigan
+45.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#3947
Forward overall
#150
Forward born in 1987
#6
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Moore
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2014-15
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Patrick Stillar
SUNY Morrisville · 2009-10
1.154 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Mike Bickley
Wisconsin-Superior · 2000-01
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.