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Matt Lombardi Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-09-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Worcester Jr. Railers EHLP 29 10 16 26 0.897 0.1028 0.1028 0.2021 0.2021
2021-22 Worcester Jr. Railers EHL 35 7 18 25 0.714 0.1650 0.1703 0.3495 0.3608
2022-23 Worcester Jr. Railers EHL 46 12 21 33 0.717 0.1657 0.1625 0.3510 0.3441
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Worcester State D3 MASCAC GR 22 6 6 12 0.545
2024-25 Worcester State D3 MASCAC SR 22 0 1 1 0.045
2023-24 Worcester State D3 MASCAC JR 19 1 2 3 0.158
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.16
2023-24 · Worcester State
+11.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26835
Forward overall
#1525
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Assumption · 2023-24
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Gustavus Adolphus · 2015-16
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Lebanon Valley · 2017-18
0.423 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.