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Reilly Smith Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-04-01 Country: Canada
2009 · Round 3, Pick #69  ·  Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2007-08 OJHL 13 2 7 9 0.692 0.1697 0.1872 0.4766 0.5258
2008-09 OJHL 49 27 48 75 1.531 0.3752 0.3947 1.0538 1.1086
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2011-12 Miami D1 CCHA-orig JR 39 30 18 48 1.231
2010-11 Miami D1 CCHA-orig SO 38 28 26 54 1.421
2009-10 Miami D1 NCHC FR 44 8 12 20 0.455
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.45
2009-10 · Miami
+70.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#11773
Forward overall
#459
Forward born in 1991
#258
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Penn State (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Average
NCAAe PPG
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Yale (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Utica · 2010-11
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint John's · 2014-15
0.480 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Stonehill · 2016-17
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.