IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

JJ Alger Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-06-11 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Boston Advantage USPHL-Premier 21 5 8 13 0.619 0.2040 0.2118 0.2106 0.2187
2023-24 Seahawks Hockey EHL 46 6 7 13 0.283 0.0994 0.1011 0.1386 0.1409
2024-25 East Coast Wizards EHL 45 16 17 33 0.733 0.2580 0.2491 0.3595 0.3470
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Roger Williams D3 CNE FR 25 8 7 15 0.600
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.16
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.60
2025-26 · Roger Williams
+269.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#28907
Forward overall
#1700
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Davey Middleton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Brown (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Eli Lichtenwald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Mike Costley
St. Norbert · 2000-01
0.478 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Ross Johnson
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2004-05
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Van Sullivan
Gustavus Adolphus · 2014-15
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.