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Lucas Condotta Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-11-06 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 — OJHL 44 0 1 1 0.023 0.0056 0.0064 0.0156 0.0178
2014-15 — OJHL 35 5 18 23 0.657 0.1611 0.1750 0.4524 0.4914
2015-16 — OJHL 52 10 22 32 0.615 0.1508 0.1555 0.4237 0.4368
2016-17 — OJHL 54 26 39 65 1.204 0.2950 0.2909 0.8287 0.8173
2017-18 — OJHL 54 35 47 82 1.518 0.3722 0.3492 1.0455 0.9808
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast SR 33 10 13 23 0.697
2020-21 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast JR 20 6 4 10 0.500
2019-20 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast SO 34 4 6 10 0.294
2018-19 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast FR 34 4 5 9 0.265
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.26
2018-19 · UMass Lowell
-5.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

52%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Trever Hertz
Utica · 2009-10
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Chuck Costello
Westfield State · 2016-17
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Andrew Kolb
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2009-10
0.875 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.