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Matthew Wilde Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-04-30 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 52 39 42 81 1.558 0.3818 0.3693 1.0725 1.0375
2022-23 Newmarket Hurricanes OJHL 52 42 44 86 1.654 0.4053 0.3713 1.1386 1.0432
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass D1 HockeyEast JR 22 1 3 4 0.182
2024-25 RIT D1 AHA — 27 18 14 32 1.185
2023-24 RIT D1 AHA — 40 19 16 35 0.875
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.32
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.88
2023-24 · RIT
+175.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

60%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6177
Forward overall
#279
Forward born in 2002
#35
in OJHL

D1 Comparables

Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nick Kulas
Utica · 2006-07
0.783 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Austin Morgan
University of New England · 2017-18
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Keenan Hodgson
Amherst · 2013-14
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.