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Caeden Carlisle Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-01-31 Country: Canada
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Soo Greyhounds OHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Soo Greyhounds OHL 55 5 4 9 0.164 0.0946 0.0973 0.4204 0.4325
2022-23 Soo Greyhounds OHL 59 5 13 18 0.305 0.1765 0.1739 0.7840 0.7726
2023-24 Soo Greyhounds OHL 66 4 18 22 0.333 0.1928 0.1808 0.8564 0.8030
2024-25 Soo Greyhounds OHL 65 1 18 19 0.292 0.1691 0.1498 0.7511 0.6655
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Notre Dame D1 BigTen FR 16 1 2 3 0.188
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.15
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.19
2025-26 · Notre Dame
+22.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8282
Defenseman overall
#1898
Defenseman born in 2004
#1090
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Michael Holland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ RIT (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.09 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Carter Foguth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Marc-Antoine Carrier
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Dominic Racobaldo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Carlson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Evan Schieber
Worcester State · 2017-18
0.611 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Shayne Morrissey
Neumann · 2012-13
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
George Splichal
Bethel · 2014-15
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.