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Riley Casey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-12-12 Country: USA
Elmira
UCHC D3

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Northern Cyclones NCDC 38 4 9 13 0.342 0.1395 0.1433 0.2750 0.2824
2025-26 Northern Cyclones NCDC 52 18 17 35 0.673 0.2744 0.2671 0.5410 0.5265
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
45%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13718
Forward overall
#675
Forward born in 2005
#433
in NCDC

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Princeton (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG

Elmira Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

0.80
actual FR PPG at Elmira
0.56
actual FR PPG at Elmira
1.00
actual FR PPG at Elmira
0.29
actual FR PPG at Elmira

D2/3 Comparables

Concordia · 2015-16
0.708 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Manhattanville · 2014-15
0.583 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Canton · 2018-19
0.458 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.