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Nathan Leek Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-09-16 Country: Canada
Ferris State
CCHA D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 5 0 1 1 0.200 0.0490 0.0532 0.1377 0.1494
2023-24 Leamington Flyers OJHL 24 9 10 19 0.792 0.1940 0.2005 — —
2024-25 Charlottetown Islanders QMJHL 60 18 21 39 0.650 0.3193 0.3106 1.7357 1.6883
2025-26 Charlottetown Islanders QMJHL 63 47 37 84 1.333 0.6551 0.6063 3.5603 3.2949
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
62%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7165
Forward overall
#252
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Ferris State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Corey Mackin
BCHL 2014-15
0.61
actual FR PPG at Ferris State

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.