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Ethan Belchetz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-03-30 Country: Canada
2026 · Round 1, Pick #17  ·  Utah Mammoth
Michigan State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 Windsor Spitfires OHL 56 17 21 38 0.679 0.3926 0.4295 1.7437 1.9078
2025-26 Windsor Spitfires OHL 57 34 25 59 1.035 0.5988 0.6250 2.6597 2.7762
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5445
Forward overall
#33
Forward born in 2008
#287
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Trevor Moore
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.63 Strong
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Compher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.96 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Anthony Louis
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Miami (0.69 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Michigan State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Eric Nilson
SHL-J20 2024-25
0.31
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Cayden Lindstrom
WHL 2023-24
0.32
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Josh Nodler
USHL 2018-19
0.22
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Ryker Lee
USHL 2024-25
0.86
actual FR PPG at Michigan State

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
University of New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2017-18
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.