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Keaton Ardagh Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2009-07-08 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Brampton Steelheads OHL 64 14 11 25 0.391 0.2260 0.2503 1.0036 1.1114
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
50%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24515
Forward overall
#98
Forward born in 2009
#920
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Chris Wilkie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Stevens
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Larkin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Michigan (1.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Anders Bjork
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Tait
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.32 PPG
→ Providence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gage Dill
Curry · 2017-18
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Keenan Hodgson
Amherst · 2008-09
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brent Wold
Utica · 2010-11
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.