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Keaton Ardagh Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2009-07-08 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Brampton Steelheads OHL 64 14 11 25 0.391 0.2260 0.2503 1.0227 1.1326
2026-27 Brampton Steelheads OHL 7 4 2 6 0.857 0.4958 0.4958 2.2442 2.2442
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
70%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#24865
Forward overall
#126
Forward born in 2009
#946
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Connor Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2016-17
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Aquaro
Hobart · 2016-17
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Sam Anderson
Albertus Magnus · 2017-18
0.720 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.