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Mats Lindgren Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-08-26 Country: Canada
2022 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #106  ·  Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Kamloops Blazers WHL 4 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Kamloops Blazers WHL 22 1 9 10 0.455 0.2211 0.2211 1.1137 1.1137
2021-22 Kamloops Blazers WHL 68 5 39 44 0.647 0.3148 0.3338 1.5856 1.6811
2022-23 Red Deer Rebels WHL 63 11 23 34 0.540 0.2626 0.2662 1.3224 1.3403
2023-24 Red Deer Rebels WHL 63 7 34 41 0.651 0.3166 0.3053 1.5947 1.5377
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Colorado College D1 NCHC FR 18 6 4 10 0.556
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.56
2025-26 · Colorado College
+103.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3084
Defenseman overall
#777
Defenseman born in 2004
#856
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Collin Patterson
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Matthew Dougherty
Western New England · 2018-19
0.846 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2018-19
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.