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Jhett Larson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-02-03 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Red Deer Rebels WHL 16 1 1 2 0.125 0.0608 0.0608 0.3063 0.3063
2021-22 Red Deer Rebels WHL 62 11 21 32 0.516 0.2511 0.2592 1.2646 1.3053
2022-23 Red Deer Rebels WHL 68 18 17 35 0.515 0.2504 0.2468 1.2612 1.2429
2023-24 Red Deer Rebels WHL 68 16 29 45 0.662 0.3220 0.3015 1.6216 1.5182
2024-25 Red Deer Rebels WHL 48 9 14 23 0.479 0.2331 0.2058 1.1742 1.0366
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA FR 32 7 7 14 0.438
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.44
2025-26 · Alaska Fairbanks
+109.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
22%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
2%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#19278
Forward overall
#1005
Forward born in 2004
#722
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Yasin Cissé
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Boston University
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Ali Thomas
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Zack Bross
UMass Boston · 2016-17
1.518 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Matt Volonnino
Plymouth State · 2014-15
1.056 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Cullen Bradshaw
St. Norbert · 2010-11
0.968 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.