IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Matvei Kotkov Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2008-08-27 Country: Russia
2026 NHL Draft Eligible  (Intl)
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2024-25 — MHL-RU 30 11 14 25 0.833 0.6160 0.6862 2.5937 2.8894
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

50%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1177
Forward overall
#8
Forward born in 2008
#76
in MHL-RU

D1 Comparables

Trevor Stone
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Air Force (0.46 D1 FR PPG)
0.70 Average
NCAAe PPG
Seamus Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.74 D1 FR PPG)
0.82 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Average
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schmaltz
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.57 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.