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Gavin Burcar Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2009-01-08 Country: USA
Michigan State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Spokane Chiefs WHL 63 7 10 17 0.270 0.1313 0.1422 0.6620 0.7170
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
68%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#40400
Forward overall
#192
Forward born in 2009
#1285
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Jared Fiegl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Cornell (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Pavelek
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Michigan State
0.21 No data
NCAAe PPG
Joe Snively
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Yale (0.88 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Alec Marsh
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.28 PPG
→ Penn State (0.57 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Sheehy
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.81 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Elite
NCAAe PPG

Michigan State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Dylan Pavelek
USHL 2012-13
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Gavin Best
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Mitchell Mattson
USHS-MN 2014-15
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Daniel Russell
USHL 2018-19
0.79
actual FR PPG at Michigan State

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Johnson
Saint John's · 2014-15
0.957 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Busby
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2000-01
0.903 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Cameron Wright
Stonehill · 2015-16
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.