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Gavin Burcar Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2009-01-08 Country: USA
Michigan State
BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2025-26 Spokane Chiefs WHL 63 7 10 17 0.270 0.1313 0.1422 0.6590 0.7137
2026-27 Spokane Chiefs WHL 5 2 1 3 0.600 0.2919 0.2919 1.4656 1.4656
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
65%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#40899
Forward overall
#237
Forward born in 2009
#1353
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Drew Melanson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ RPI (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Jackson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.09 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Garrett Gamez
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Providence (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Evan Allen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Horton
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Harvard (0.24 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

Michigan State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Gavin Best
USHS-MN 2019-20
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Dylan Pavelek
USHL 2013-14
0.00
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Daniel Russell
NAHL 2019-20
0.79
actual FR PPG at Michigan State
Jesse Tucker
OJHL 2017-18
0.67
actual FR PPG at Michigan State

D2/3 Comparables

Erik Caron
St. Michael's College · 2001-02
1.280 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Myles Abbate
Plymouth State · 2018-19
1.037 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Patrick Stillar
SUNY Morrisville · 2009-10
1.154 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.