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Dylan Pavelek Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1996-01-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2012-13 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 15 1 4 5 0.333 0.2584 0.2612 1.2405 1.2537
2013-14 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 60 11 6 17 0.283 0.2197 0.2100 1.0544 1.0079
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Michigan D1 BigTen — 7 0 2 2 0.286
2017-18 Michigan State D1 BigTen SR 7 0 2 2 0.286
2016-17 Michigan D1 BigTen — 22 2 2 4 0.182
2016-17 Michigan State D1 BigTen JR 22 2 2 4 0.182
2015-16 Michigan D1 BigTen — 17 3 0 3 0.176
2015-16 Michigan State D1 BigTen SO 17 3 0 3 0.176
2014-15 Michigan State D1 BigTen FR 20 0 0 0 0.000

NCAAe Rankings

#24455
Forward overall
#979
Forward born in 1996

D1 Comparables

Ryan Siroky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Miami (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Andrew Oglevie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Joe Widmar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ UMass (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Garrett Gamez
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ Providence (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jake Evans
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Richard Manley
SUNY Geneseo · 2007-08
1.150 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2006-07
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Michaud
Trinity · 2014-15
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.