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Caleb Heil Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2006-06-19 Country: USA
2025 · Round 7, Pick #193  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
North Dakota
NCHC D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2025-26 Madison Capitols USHL 41 24 13 90.5% 2.34 3 0.9983 87.5%
2024-25 Madison Capitols USHL 39 25 10 89.6% 2.85 2 0.9983 89.8%
2023-24 NTDP-U18 4 1 0 89.7% 3.90 0 0.9200 81.3%
2023-24 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 19 6 10 85.0% 4.32 0 0.9983 88.4%
2022-23 USHL 9 5 2 90.8% 2.92 0 0.9983 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Jack Stark USHL 90.0% 87.0% Yale 91.9% 2.22
Cameron Whitehead USHL 90.4% 87.3% Northeastern 91.7% 2.62
Nathan Krawchuk OHL 90.1% 87.3% RPI 90.9% 2.82
Ryan Bischel USHL 90.5% 87.8% Notre Dame 91.5% 2.52
Max Väyrynen SM-Liiga-Jr 91.2% 86.5% Michigan Tech 90.3% 2.32
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.5% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 86.3% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.0% Utica D3 100.0%
Cameron Kuntar NCDC 89.3% 89.1% Chatham D3 92.4% 2.62
Russ Decoste USPHL-Premier 93.1% 88.5% Westfield State D3 93.3% 2.38

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.