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Alex Musielak Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-07-23 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 NCDC 7 1 3 90.2% 3.57 0 0.9400 85.3%
2022-23 CCHL 18 8 7 90.5% 3.68 0 0.9700 86.9%
2021-22 NCDC 4 0 3 88.6% 4.69 0 0.9400 86.4%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Boston College D1 1 0 0 0
2024-25 Boston College D1
2023-24 Boston College D1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Brayden Gillespie OHL 88.1% 85.5% Union 91.5% 2.19
Max Weilandt USHL 88.7% 86.0% Northern Michigan 87.0% 3.43
Calvin Vachon USHL 89.6% 86.8% Alaska Fairbanks 89.7% 3.11
Jacob Biron CCHL 90.9% 87.1% Army 92.3% 1.68
Albin Boija SHL-J20 92.1% 85.8% Maine 91.6% 2.01
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 86.3% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.5% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 86.7% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.0% Utica D3 100.0%
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.9% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.