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Christian Manz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-01-13 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 Chicago Steel USHL 31 13 14 88.0% 4.35 1 0.9983 83.7%
2022-23 USHL 33 21 9 90.2% 3.35 1 0.9983 89.1%
2021-22 USHL 19 12 4 90.7% 2.83 0 0.9983 93.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Augustana D1 2 2 0 93.8% 2.00 0
2024-25 Augustana D1 6 1 3 89.4% 2.84 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Jackson Unger WHL 89.9% 85.7% Colorado College 91.1% 2.53
Dylan Silverstein USHL 88.8% 84.6% Quinnipiac 90.3% 2.25
Collin MacKenzie OHL 88.4% 83.7% RIT 81.5% 3.90
Jake Barczewski USHL 90.4% 86.0% Canisius 90.5% 2.92
Kristoffer Eberly USHL 89.3% 84.6% Ohio State 91.1% 2.98
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Dylan Dewatcher OJHL 86.3% 85.2% Western Connecticut D3 85.8% 5.91
Owen Carlson NA3HL 92.1% 84.2% Lawrence D3 90.2% 3.41
Nolan Mahaffey NCDC 87.4% 86.2% Lawrence D3 90.5% 3.39
Sean Guerin NOJHL 90.2% 84.5% Southern New Hampshire D2 90.7% 3.28
Jeb Lindy USPHL-Premier 89.3% 83.7% Arcadia D3 89.6% 4.06

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.