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Jacob Stern Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-01-14 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 NCDC 24 11 11 91.9% 2.93 1 0.9400 84.3%
2021-22 NCDC 0.9400
2019-20 EHLP 23 12 13 91.2% 3.20 5 0.9400 85.7%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Alvernia D3 3 86.5% 6.08 0
2024-25 Alvernia D3 17 7 8 89.6% 3.21 1
2023-24 Alvernia D3 9 5 3 88.8% 3.50 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Sam Scopa NAHL 89.7% 85.6% Quinnipiac 100.0%
Stephen Peck USHL 90.9% 82.5% Michigan 91.1% 2.61
Jake Barczewski USHL 90.4% 82.3% Canisius 90.5% 2.92
Troy Kobryn NCDC 92.2% 83.6% Merrimack 89.3% 3.30
Ethan David BCHL 90.9% 85.5% RIT 90.9% 2.68
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Gustave Bylin AJHL 90.4% 85.5% Tufts D3 89.8% 3.01
Caleb Chabot CCHL 89.1% 84.2% Albertus Magnus D3 93.4% 1.79
Tyler Laureault CCHL 90.6% 84.7% St. Olaf D3 88.7% 3.36
Nolan Mahaffey NCDC 87.4% 85.4% Lawrence D3 90.5% 3.39
Maxim Zinchenko USPHL-Premier 91.8% 85.4% Johnson & Wales D3 90.8% 3.68

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.