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Matthew MacArthur Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-04-30 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NCDC 24 12 9 90.7% 3.28 1 0.9400 81.9%
2024-25 SJHL 7 3 3 84.0% 5.05 0 0.9700 77.5%
2023-24 SJHL 11 4 5 89.5% 3.73 1 0.9700 86.0%
2023-24 NAHL 6 3 2 86.3% 3.33 0 0.9843 84.7%
2022-23 NAHL 1 1 0 100.0% 1 0.9843 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Gavin Moffatt USHL 89.3% 82.4% Western Michigan
Alexander Tracy USHL 89.6% 83.0% Minnesota 87.9% 2.24
Ryan Keyes NCDC 92.6% 83.2% Merrimack 92.0% 2.22
Lucas Massie USHL 87.9% 81.1% Union 80.5% 5.73
Aaron Randazzo USHL 88.8% 82.5% Air Force 82.4% 5.23
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Dolan Gilbert NA3HL 91.0% 81.2% Concordia D3 81.0% 9.00
Nolan Hildebrand BCHL 89.3% 81.9% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Nolan Hildebrand AJHL 87.4% 82.5% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Dean Hahn USPHL-Premier 91.6% 84.1% Salem State D3 88.9% 3.95
Bodee Weiss BCHL 87.9% 80.7% Aurora D3 87.9% 2.93

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.