IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Justin Poirier Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-09-04 Country: Canada
2024 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #156  ·  Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
Penn State
Verbal BigTen D1

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — QMJHL 55 28 20 48 0.873 0.4339 0.4857 2.3275 2.6056
2023-24 Baie-Comeau Drakkar QMJHL 68 51 31 82 1.206 0.5996 0.6417 3.2161 3.4419
2024-25 Baie-Comeau Drakkar QMJHL 58 43 37 80 1.379 0.6858 0.7002 3.6786 3.7560
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Maine D1 HockeyEast FR 27 18 11 29 1.074
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.63
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.07
2025-26 · Maine
+70.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3866
Forward overall
#50
Forward born in 2006
#110
in QMJHL

D1 Comparables

Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.69 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.74 Strong
NCAAe PPG

Penn State Alumni similar profiles who attended this school

Denis Smirnov
USHL 2015-16
1.21
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Alex Limoges
USHL 2015-16
0.57
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Luke Misa
OHL 2023-24
0.51
actual FR PPG at Penn State
Christian Sarlo
USHL 2019-20
0.52
actual FR PPG at Penn State

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.