IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Justin Poirier Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2006-09-04 Country: Canada
2024 · Round 5, Pick #156  ·  Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
⚠️ Aging Out 2026-27: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2026 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 — QMJHL 55 28 20 48 0.873 0.4288 0.4800 2.3304 2.6089
2023-24 Baie-Comeau Drakkar QMJHL 68 51 31 82 1.206 0.5925 0.6341 3.2201 3.4461
2024-25 Baie-Comeau Drakkar QMJHL 58 43 37 80 1.379 0.6777 0.6920 3.6831 3.7606
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Maine D1 HockeyEast FR 27 18 11 29 1.074
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.62
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.07
2025-26 · Maine
+72.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
10%
Age-Out / Club
85%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4108
Forward overall
#57
Forward born in 2006
#95
in QMJHL

D1 Comparables

Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brendan Harms
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.09 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.55 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.