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Nate Tivey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-03-27 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Georgetown Raiders OJHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 Saint John Sea Dogs QMJHL 65 2 23 25 0.385 0.1890 0.1885 1.0267 1.0242
2023-24 Saint John Sea Dogs QMJHL 64 4 23 27 0.422 0.2073 0.1966 1.1263 1.0680
2024-25 Saint John Sea Dogs QMJHL 63 5 35 40 0.635 0.3119 0.2804 1.6949 1.5238
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2026-27 Quinnipiac D1 ECAC SO 0 0 0 0 0.000
2025-26 Quinnipiac D1 ECAC FR 38 3 5 8 0.210
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2025-26 · Quinnipiac
-9.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
48%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4611
Defenseman overall
#1186
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ American International (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.600 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Southern New Hampshire · 2017-18
0.808 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint Anselm · 2002-03
1.375 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.