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Jake Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1984-06-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 54 18 22 40 0.741 0.2750 0.2697 0.7843 0.7693
2004-05 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 40 5 18 23 0.575 0.2135 0.1988 0.6088 0.5668
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2007-08 St. Scholastica D3 JR 6 0 0 0 0.000
2006-07 St. Scholastica D3 SO 28 8 11 19 0.679
2005-06 St. Scholastica D3 FR 25 8 12 20 0.800
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.80
2005-06 · St. Scholastica
+311.5% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#15772
Forward overall
#537
Forward born in 1984
#1198
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Union (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Alabama-Huntsville (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ Army (0.52 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Wisconsin-River Falls · 2003-04
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Buffalo State · 2008-09
0.400 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Castleton · 2007-08
0.571 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.