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Logan Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1993-09-09 Country: USA
2012 · Round 5, Pick #133  ·  Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 41 6 3 9 0.220 0.1295 0.1379 0.6592 0.7021
2011-12 Victoria Royals WHL 71 23 39 62 0.873 0.4248 0.4312 2.1426 2.1748
2012-13 Victoria Royals WHL 49 14 29 43 0.878 0.4270 0.4121 2.1534 2.0781
2013-14 Victoria Royals WHL 59 23 31 54 0.915 0.4453 0.4080 2.2459 2.0575
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Wisconsin-Stout D1 BigTen JR 11 4 3 7 0.636
2020-21 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen JR 11 4 3 7 0.636
2019-20 Wisconsin-Stout D1 BigTen SO 25 10 4 14 0.560
2019-20 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen SO 25 10 4 14 0.560
2018-19 Wisconsin-Stout D1 BigTen FR 27 10 6 16 0.593
2018-19 Wisconsin-Stout D3 BigTen FR 27 10 6 16 0.593
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.35
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.59
2018-19 · Wisconsin-Stout
+69.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#7805
Forward overall
#330
Forward born in 1993

D1 Comparables

A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Justin Fox
Salem State · 2006-07
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2013-14
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2017-18
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.