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Aaron Herdt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-08-19 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2012-13 Fargo Force USHL 5 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2013-14 Fargo Force USHL 14 2 0 2 0.143 0.0843 0.0856 0.4292 0.4359
2014-15 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 29 2 3 5 0.172 0.1017 0.0983 0.5178 0.5004
2015-16 Bismarck Bobcats NAHL 57 19 33 52 0.912 0.3352 0.3198 0.9629 0.9187
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Concordia D3 MIAC — 25 13 8 21 0.840
2019-20 Concordia (MN) D1 — SR 25 13 8 21 0.840
2018-19 Concordia D3 MIAC — 22 17 11 28 1.273
2018-19 Concordia (MN) D1 — JR 22 17 11 28 1.273
2017-18 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA SO 14 0 1 1 0.071
2016-17 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA FR 12 0 1 1 0.083
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.08
2016-17 · Alaska Fairbanks
-57.9% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#21896
Forward overall
#818
Forward born in 1995

D1 Comparables

Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Woody Hudson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Maxim Maziarchuk
Morrisville · 2023-24
0.684 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Jarrod Fitzpatrick
Utica · 2015-16
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Andy Trann
St. Norbert · 2000-01
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.