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Denis Smirnov Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-08-12 Country: Russia
2017 · Round 6, Pick #156  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg · VHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 Indiana Ice USHL 47 15 26 41 0.872 0.5146 0.5736 2.6199 2.9203
2014-15 Fargo Force USHL 53 18 22 40 0.755 0.4452 0.4744 2.2667 2.4152
2015-16 Fargo Force USHL 60 29 32 61 1.017 0.5998 0.6112 3.0536 3.1117
2020-21 SKA-VMF St. Petersburg VHL 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Penn State D1 BigTen SR 31 8 11 19 0.613
2018-19 Penn State D1 BigTen JR 37 8 14 22 0.595
2017-18 Penn State D1 BigTen SO 30 15 12 27 0.900
2016-17 Penn State D1 BigTen FR 39 19 28 47 1.205
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.52
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.21
2016-17 · Penn State
+132.6% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#4723
Forward overall
#231
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.64 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.68 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Luke Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.73 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2016-17
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.