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Brendan Warren Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-05-07 Country: USA
2015 · Round 3, Pick #81  ·  Utah Mammoth Utah Mammoth (via ARI)
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 53 14 26 40 0.755 0.5610 0.5729 2.8161 2.8758
2014-15 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 61 19 19 38 0.623 0.4631 0.4505 2.3247 2.2613
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2018-19 Michigan D1 BigTen SR 36 1 2 3 0.083
2017-18 Michigan D1 BigTen JR 40 9 6 15 0.375
2016-17 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 35 3 7 10 0.286
2015-16 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 38 5 12 17 0.447
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.43
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.45
2015-16 · Michigan
+4.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#8532
Forward overall
#396
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Matthew Weis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.71 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.66 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Scott Conway
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Penn State (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Motte
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2016-17
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Luke Aquaro
Hobart · 2016-17
1.231 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.