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Dirk Southern Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1983-08-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2000-01 Winnipeg Saints MJHL 59 34 61 95 1.610 0.4378 0.4750 1.0147 1.1009
2001-02 Lincoln Stars USHL 60 22 36 58 0.967 0.5942 0.6182 2.8481 2.9630
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2005-06 Northern Michigan D1 — SR 39 11 23 34 0.872
2004-05 Northern Michigan D1 — JR 32 11 19 30 0.938
2003-04 Northern Michigan D1 — SO 37 9 16 25 0.676
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.52
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.68
2003-04 · Northern Michigan
+29.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#4888
Forward overall
#170
Forward born in 1983

D1 Comparables

Alex Kile
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.07 PPG
→ Michigan (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.66 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Austin Cangelosi
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ Boston College (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.71 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Luke Johnson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jake Guentzel
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.22 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.92 D1 FR PPG)
0.76 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schilkey
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.70 D1 FR PPG)
0.74 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2016-17
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.