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Brady Tkachuk Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-09-16 Country: USA
2018 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #4  ·  Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 — NTDP-U18 55 9 16 25 0.455 0.3524 0.3678 1.6916 1.7657
2016-17 — NTDP-U18 61 25 29 54 0.885 0.6864 0.6827 3.2946 3.2771
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2017-18 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 40 8 23 31 0.775
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.52
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.78
2017-18 · Boston University
+49.5% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Gabe Guertler
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.85 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.67 Average
NCAAe PPG
Sean Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.87 PPG
→ Harvard (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Strong
NCAAe PPG
J.T. Compher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.96 PPG
→ Michigan (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.72 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Trevor Moore
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.02 PPG
→ Denver (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Filimon Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.