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Jordan Ernst Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-06-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Madison Capitols USHL 16 0 4 4 0.250 0.1475 0.1492 0.7509 0.7595
2016-17 Sarnia Sting OHL 67 8 21 29 0.433 0.2504 0.2382 1.1121 1.0581
2017-18 Sarnia Sting OHL 68 27 27 54 0.794 0.4594 0.4138 2.0404 1.8379
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2015-16 Bowling Green D1 WCHA FR 15 0 2 2 0.133

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

55%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14007
Forward overall
#632
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Justin Parizek
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.93 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Michael Hill
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2010-11
1.200 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Padgeon
Anna Maria · 2018-19
0.706 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Botten
SUNY Oswego · 2012-13
1.133 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.