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Joshua Ess Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1999-04-03 Country: USA
2017 · Round 7, Pick #215  ·  Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Lakeville South High USHS-MN 24 7 13 20 0.833 0.1055 0.1112 0.2024 0.2133
2016-17 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.2949 0.3096 1.5017 1.5768
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Wisconsin D1 BigTen GR 37 1 5 6 0.162
2020-21 Wisconsin D1 BigTen SR 31 2 5 7 0.226
2019-20 Wisconsin D1 BigTen JR 35 2 6 8 0.229
2018-19 Wisconsin D1 BigTen SO 37 5 8 13 0.351
2017-18 Wisconsin D1 BigTen FR 33 2 2 4 0.121
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2017-18 · Wisconsin
-44.2% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#5605
Defenseman overall
#1259
Defenseman born in 1999

D1 Comparables

Luke Voltin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.43 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Gross
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Connor Clifton
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.35 PPG
→ Quinnipiac (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Murphy
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Northland (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Michael Downing
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ Michigan (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

James Tatro
Salem State · 2021-22
1.269 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Chris Atkinson
Curry · 2005-06
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dom Murphy
University of New England · 2021-22
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.