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Luke Nesper Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-07-30 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 Trenton Sting OJHL 35 3 6 9 0.257 0.0718 0.0792 0.1774 0.1956
2004-05 Trenton Sting OJHL 22 0 1 1 0.045 0.0127 0.0134 0.0314 0.0330
2006-07 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 54 11 11 22 0.407 0.1513 0.1494 0.4314 0.4261
2007-08 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 57 26 55 81 1.421 0.5277 0.4953 1.5047 1.4123
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2011-12 Wisconsin-Stevens Point D3 — SR 27 6 12 18 0.667
2010-11 Wisconsin-Stevens Point D3 — JR 22 2 4 6 0.273
2009-10 Wisconsin-Stevens Point D3 — SO 26 9 13 22 0.846
2008-09 Wisconsin-Stevens Point D3 — FR 27 11 13 24 0.889
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.89
2008-09 · Wisconsin-Stevens Point
+191.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#11156
Forward overall
#476
Forward born in 1987

D1 Comparables

Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.52 No data
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Wahlin
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.33 PPG
→ UMass (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.47 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Adams
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.25 PPG
→ Holy Cross
0.44 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nicholas Belger
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2014-15
0.905 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alex Ochterbeck
Curry · 2017-18
0.654 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Scott Cuthrell
Nichols · 2013-14
0.704 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.