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Matt Kessel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2000-06-23 Country: USA
2020 · Round 5, Pick #150  ·  St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 — USHL 52 0 3 3 0.058 0.0340 0.0361 0.1733 0.1840
2018-19 — USHL 62 2 17 19 0.306 0.1808 0.1826 0.9205 0.9297
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 UMass D1 HockeyEast — 37 6 11 17 0.460
2021-22 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast — 37 6 11 17 0.460
2020-21 UMass D1 HockeyEast SO 29 10 13 23 0.793
2019-20 UMass D1 HockeyEast FR 34 7 4 11 0.324
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.12
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2019-20 · UMass
+176.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

72%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13508
Defenseman overall
#2282
Defenseman born in 2000
#3577
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Chris Leibinger
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Cutler Martin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Michigan (0.47 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Doyle Somerby
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.20 PPG
→ Boston University (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Jimmy Mazza
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Canisius (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jake Bischoff
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Shane Wheeler
St. Norbert · 2004-05
0.903 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Dave McKenna
Elmira · 2004-05
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Blake Norris
Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2020-21
0.409 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.