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Dustin Manz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-09-21 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Philadelphia Rebels NAHL 56 4 12 16 0.286 0.1050 0.1160 0.3016 0.3331
2017-18 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 58 15 28 43 0.741 0.2857 0.2987 1.0790 1.1279
2018-19 Prince George Spruce Kings BCHL 58 33 37 70 1.207 0.4650 0.4610 1.7564 1.7413
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 American International D1 AHA — 39 7 24 31 0.795
2022-23 American International D1 AHA — 39 10 14 24 0.615
2021-22 Lake Superior State D1 CCHA JR 34 7 7 14 0.412
2020-21 Lake Superior State D1 WCHA SO 29 2 5 7 0.241
2019-20 Lake Superior State D1 WCHA FR 40 2 7 9 0.225
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.34
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.23
2019-20 · Lake Superior State
-33.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

52%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14498
Forward overall
#674
Forward born in 1999

D1 Comparables

Sam Rothstein
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.57 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Logan Nelson
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.88 PPG
→ Wisconsin-Stout (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Frank DiChiara
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Yale (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG
Thomas Forgione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.70 PPG
→ Vermont (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Riley Bourbonnais
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.78 PPG
→ RPI (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jason Yuel
Curry · 2005-06
1.769 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brian Berger
Marian · 2010-11
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Cole Hepler
Lebanon Valley · 2014-15
1.280 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.