IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Christian Sarlo Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-06-29 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Islanders Hockey Club NCDC 1 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2018-19 Chicago Steel USHL 50 12 13 25 0.500 0.3074 0.3261 1.4731 1.5626
2019-20 Lincoln Stars USHL 46 21 23 44 0.957 0.5880 0.5880 2.8180 2.8180
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Penn State D1 BigTen SR 25 2 6 8 0.320
2022-23 Penn State D1 BigTen JR 38 7 10 17 0.447
2021-22 Penn State D1 BigTen SO 38 5 7 12 0.316
2020-21 Penn State D1 BigTen FR 21 5 6 11 0.524
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.52
2020-21 · Penn State
+87.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

70%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6172
Forward overall
#238
Forward born in 2001

D1 Comparables

Avery Peterson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average
NCAAe PPG
Jack Jenkins
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.42 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Hudson Fasching
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.75 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Frederik Tiffels
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.66 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Mike Marnell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2014-15
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Collin Patterson
UMass Dartmouth · 2021-22
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2018-19
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.