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Justin Smith Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1998-06-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2016-17 Philadelphia Rebels NAHL 12 0 1 1 0.083 0.0306 0.0319 0.0879 0.0916
2017-18 NAHL 51 3 3 6 0.118 0.0432 0.0429 0.1241 0.1232
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Ferris State D1 CCHA SR 0 0 0 0 0.000
2020-21 Ferris State D1 WCHA JR 5 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Ferris State D1 WCHA SO 9 0 0 0 0.000
2018-19 Ferris State D1 WCHA FR 17 0 0 0 0.000

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
78%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#27667
Defenseman overall
#3351
Defenseman born in 1998
#6771
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.12 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.11 PPG
→ Providence (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Michigan Tech
0.05 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

St. Norbert · 2023-24
0.567 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Concordia · 2010-11
0.462 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-River Falls · 2015-16
0.292 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.