IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jake Willets Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1999-08-06 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Fairbanks Ice Dogs NAHL 46 5 7 12 0.261 0.1034 0.1084 0.2739 0.2872
2018-19 Houston Bulls NAHL 57 17 24 41 0.719 0.2850 0.2861 0.7552 0.7581
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Lake Superior State D1 CCHA — 33 4 8 12 0.364
2021-22 Lake Superior State D1 CCHA — 35 6 8 14 0.400
2020-21 Ferris State D1 WCHA SO 17 2 4 6 0.353
2019-20 Ferris State D1 WCHA FR 35 3 19 22 0.629
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.63
2019-20 · Ferris State
+209.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
25%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6048
Defenseman overall
#1364
Defenseman born in 1999
#2220
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Mike McKee
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Tucker Poolman
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.44 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Artem Buzoberya
Hobart · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Jesse Facchini
SUNY Brockport · 2010-11
0.760 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Hammermeister
Southern New Hampshire · 2003-04
1.214 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.